Pundits have predicted for years that droves of European venture capitalists would shut their doors. A new London-based firm is now betting it will finally happen. While some consolidation among VCs has taken place since the technology crash in 2000—there are now 866 venture capital funds across Europe compared to 1,057 in 2001, according to Thomson Financial—London-based Tempo Capital Partners believes there’s more to come. Tempo is prepared to buy out the venture firms’ holdings in funds and companies as they shut down. Recently spun off from Nova Capital Management, which now focuses solely on purchasing secondaries, or shares held by VCs and private equity firms, from buyouts, Tempo has acquired early-stage portfolios from Siemens, West LB, V2 FVPR (a former subsidiary of ViVentures), and an undisclosed U.K. VC.  “We think there will be more volume than in the past,” says Olav Ostin, a   Tempo founding partner, who predicts a major consolidation in the number of VCs as well as the size of funds managed. Mr. Ostin and co-founder David Tate expect between 50 to 100 VC  firms will be left in Europe by 2009.  The first wave of consolidation in the European venture market came mainly from corporations that got out for strategic reasons. Munich-based secondary firm Cipio Partners, for example, has snapped up nearly 50 early-stage companies over the past two years from companies including Infineon Ventures, Daimler Chrysler, and Deutsche Telekom  Tom Anthofer, managing partner with Cipio, agrees that portfolio sales in the future will come from either financial investors who have moved upmarket to focus on later-stage VC or buyouts—firms like Carlyle, Apax or Warburg Pincus—or first-time funds that cannot raise new money.  Prospects for European VCs have darkened as LPs still prefer the double-digit  returns of the buyout business, or even the track records of U.S. VCs. “In every category, Euro-VCs have under-impressed,” Mr. Anthofer says. “We don’t have any Googles or Yahoos.”  He cites data showing that in the period between 1998 and 2004, for example, the average U.S. venture fund returned 9.75 percent, compared to only 3.06 percent by European funds. The differences between top performers and poor ones is also greater in Europe, he adds.  This is making Europe’s VC market quite clubby, with only top names like Wellington Partners, Sofinnova, and Amadeus finding fundraising success. But even these firms have had to scale back the size of their funds. In this climate of shrinkage, Tempo is poised to benefit from the fallout.  Contact the writer:  MBDamico@RedHerring.com

 

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“Innovation has not disappeared, nor will venture capital”